When deciding how to
invest your money, don't get stuck holding the fad bag. While some
people may make oodles of money while an investment fad remains in vogue,
most end up losing the bulk of what they invest.
One of the earliest
investments fads that you read about is the tulip fad back in Holland.
Somehow, people were convinced to pay extraordinary sums of money for a
flower.
More recent fads
include the Beanie Baby craze of the late 20th century during which time
people paid in excess of $2,500 for a stuffed animal. Guess what those
stuffed animals are worth today.
Most investment fads
don't reach the level of tulips or Beanie Babies. Even so, by recognizing
a fad as nothing more than a fraud, many average investors could have
significantly cut their losses by not getting caught up in the hype.
Let's take a look at some of the signs of an investment fad:
Clue #1: Promises
of Quick and Risk-free Investment Returns: Think back to the late
1990s and the high-flying NASDAQ when annual returns of 40% or more were
the norm.
Clue #2: It Just
Doesn't Feel Right: Beanie Babies selling for $2,500!!!
Clue #3: It's All
You Hear: Before the Great Depression, one successful investor sold
all his holdings upon hearing taxi drivers giving investment advice. And
during the dot-com boom, you couldn't go anywhere without friends and
family members bragging about the quick money they made by investing in
tech stocks.
Clue #4: It's All
You Read About: How many dot-com success stories did we endure during
the Internet boom?
Clue #5: New Set
of Rules Appear: None of the "new-economy" stocks could be valued
using traditional valuation techniques, so new techniques were concocted.
Clue #6: New Crop
of Talking Heads: All of a sudden, a plethora of new experts appear
touting the latest fad.
Clue #7:
Established Experts Become Contrarians: Everyone was questioning why
Warren Buffet never purchased any "new-economy" stocks, but ended up
seeing the wisdom of his ways.
What should you do
if you spot a fad?
Don't let greed and
the lure of easy money get the best of you. Stick to your pre-fad asset
allocation model, and make sure to systematically rebalance your
portfolio. By doing so, you'll be sure to lock in some gains realized
from the overpriced sectors.
And be patient.
Before long, your willpower will pay huge dividends as the fad turns out
to be nothing more than a fraud.